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La Nina - More Rain to Come
South East Australia faces wetter-than-normal conditions in the run up to autumn and further flooding cannot be ruled out. For the second year in a row we are in the grip La Niña. The warmer waters in the western Pacific are creating another wet summer. One of the world's top experts in this weather pattern is in Australia talking to fellow climate scientists about the implications of this phenomenon.
Weatherwatch meteorologist Anthony Cornelius said yesterday Queensland remained in the grip of a strong La Nina but the weather pattern was easing.
"It all comes down to stats," Mr Cornelius said. "History shows we should expect the biggest floods in January and February. Things will tend to ease off over the next couple of months although that's not to say floods can't happen."
Weather bureau forecaster Brett Harrison said 20mm to 40mm of rain was expected for Brisbane and its dams from this afternoon.
Falls to 80mm would be recorded further north in the Bundaberg-Gladstone region due to a low off Fraser Island.
Much of eastern Australia continues to feel the effects of one of the strongest La Nina's on record, although the rain-bearing event passed its peak about a month ago.
The National Climate Centre believes the most likely outcome in the period leading up to April for the southeast is for neutral conditions for neither increased rainfall nor drought although there remains a chance La Nina could persist for the rest of the year.
The far north is expected to get increased rainfall.
El Nino conditions generally result in below-average rainfall over much of the east coast and La Nina brings above average falls. About twice as many cyclones form from November to April during La Ninas.
South East Australia faces wetter-than-normal conditions in the run up to autumn and further flooding cannot be ruled out. For the second year in a row we are in the grip La Niña. The warmer waters in the western Pacific are creating another wet summer. One of the world's top experts in this weather pattern is in Australia talking to fellow climate scientists about the implications of this phenomenon.
Weatherwatch meteorologist Anthony Cornelius said yesterday Queensland remained in the grip of a strong La Nina but the weather pattern was easing.
"It all comes down to stats," Mr Cornelius said. "History shows we should expect the biggest floods in January and February. Things will tend to ease off over the next couple of months although that's not to say floods can't happen."
Weather bureau forecaster Brett Harrison said 20mm to 40mm of rain was expected for Brisbane and its dams from this afternoon.
Falls to 80mm would be recorded further north in the Bundaberg-Gladstone region due to a low off Fraser Island.
Much of eastern Australia continues to feel the effects of one of the strongest La Nina's on record, although the rain-bearing event passed its peak about a month ago.
The National Climate Centre believes the most likely outcome in the period leading up to April for the southeast is for neutral conditions for neither increased rainfall nor drought although there remains a chance La Nina could persist for the rest of the year.
The far north is expected to get increased rainfall.
El Nino conditions generally result in below-average rainfall over much of the east coast and La Nina brings above average falls. About twice as many cyclones form from November to April during La Ninas.